For several historical reasons, since 1992, when Ghana became a multiparty democracy, no Muslim politician has led a major political party with a realistic chance of becoming Ghana’s president.
For the wider northern region, it was in 2012 that President John Mahama won his first term in office. If you’re interested in deeper history, here are the Muslim politicians who have approached the presidency of Ghana since 1979, when Alhaji Imole Egala, a former Minister of Foreign Affairs under President Kwame Nkrumah, founded the People’s National Party (PNP). Not there. Therefore, for those who truly believe in the so-called “democratic inclusiveness” of globalization and global liberalism, Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia is on track to make history in the December 7 presidential election, regardless of the outcome. Maybe it is.
The course of the 1979 election campaign was such that it was believed that Alhaji Egala would win the presidential election if he was not disqualified (although his handpicked protégé, Dr. Hira Rehman, ultimately won the election). Considering that they won), it’s hard to say that. For Dr. Bawumia, at least, the 2024 (and likely 2028) elections have been marked by severe economic hardship and a number of unfulfilled political promises to transform Ghana into a near-paradise on earth. Considering this, it is similar. 2016 elections, a general lack of public confidence in the NPP government, and the usual incumbency baggage that will burden Bawumia’s camp in his 2024 elections.
However, it must be acknowledged that the Akufo Addo Bawumia government is not the only incumbent government to face these challenges and the burden of incumbency after serving a mandatory two terms since 1992. yeah.
Scenarios currently underway, with varying degrees of strength, include those in 2000, when Professor Atta Mills sought to succeed President Jerry Rawlings, and in 2008, when candidate Akufo-Addo sought to succeed President John Kufuor. It was witnessed when he was trying to become the successor of .
Nor can we forget a similar trend in 2016, when President John Mahama took over from President Mills and made a frantic effort to succeed him after being elected to his first term in 2012. It is clear to anyone who observes Ghana’s political process and voting behavior that, had it not been for President Mills’ sudden death, the 2012 election would have seen President Mills re-elected for a second term. It is. In that case, for President Mahama to have the opportunity to become president in his first term, he would have to wait until 2024. In this way, ordinary Ghanaians were reassured that the “two-term election reversal” principle is working in Ghana, and that the defeat in the presidential election by the two major parties is at least an opportunity to atone for their sins. The point is that it seems to be ritualistic poetic justice for each year. The out-of-control greed, lies, deceit, economic mismanagement, corruption, broken political promises, division and dishonesty that have defined our politics since 1992 and before.
Therefore, despite the clear failure of the democratic state to guarantee social justice and social rights for ordinary people in Ghana over the past 30 years, we at least need to take action against continued misgovernment and unjust domination. We can take solace in the retributive justice of the democratic process. Social injustice by Ghanaian politicians across the aisle since 1992.
With this in mind, Dr. Bawumia sacrificed John Dramani Mahama even though both presidential candidates seem to lack new and innovative ideas and the political courage needed to change the system. The United States faces the difficult task of winning the 2024 presidential election. Decades of “religious” implementation of the neoliberal policies of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank have resulted in a toxic economic recipe inevitably prepared for ordinary Ghanaians: debt, deficits, and endless debt. We will examine the structure and direction of the national economy in light of the fiscal austerity cycle.
If anything, Mr Bawumia will have to follow the political conventions of the Fourth Republic and remain on the waiting list for elections in 2028 or 2032. Given his first two-term pledge since 1992, 2032 may be the right time for Mr. Bawumia to take pole position in the presidential election, but various scenarios and factors may intervene to make the period until 2028 more likely. It could be shortened or even thwart his presidential ambitions. Totally vice president.
For example, there is a tendency that if Mr Mahama wins, which is likely, the NDC will undoubtedly suffer from internal bickering, vitriol and division over who will succeed him. Given the long list of ambitious generations of politicians around the NDC leader waiting for the opportunity to succeed him in 2028.
This would not only divert the attention of a potential Mahama government from providing effective governance, but also turn the president into a lame duck. This will be especially true if the NDC selects a new presidential candidate two to three years after the Mahama administration takes office, and party and government loyalties will inevitably be drawn between the incumbent president and the party’s presidential candidate for the 2028 election. divided into two.
Furthermore, in the economic realm, given the current fiscal deterioration, public debt burden, and near-endless austerity, there is little that the parties and presidential candidates who win the next election will be able to achieve. In the case of President Mahama, mobilizing sufficient resources to complete the large number of infrastructure projects that were started before 2017 and deliberately abandoned by the Akufo-Addo government to start new projects will require 4. Even a year may not be enough.
As a result, as is often the case with Ghana’s deceptive and dishonest politics, if the NPP loses the 2024 elections, it will launch a sustained propaganda campaign against Mahama’s government, blaming all the blame for its economic woes on its own country. It may be easier to transfer the burden from the government to the public. NDC government starts in 2025.
Given that Ghanaian voters tend to be swayed by the loudest voice, even the quietest, if this scenario works out for the NPP, Bawumia could cut his tenure in the opposition party by four years. There is a high possibility that the same thing will happen again. In Liberia, President George Oppong Weah was recently defeated by former Vice President Joseph Numa Boakai, who served just one term.
Conversely, another hypothetical question that is important to this discussion is whether the NPP party supported President Kufuor in the presidential primaries leading to the 1996 and 2000 presidential elections and supported President Akufo-Addo in 2008. The question is, will they support Bawumia? What if he (Bawumia) loses the election in 2012 and he in 2016, he loses in 2024 and maybe he loses in 2028?
If the answer is yes, and the NPP firmly supports Bawumia and decides to keep him as party president in the 2028 and 2032 elections, he could become Ghana’s president at least in 2033. There is sex.
The reasons may be the same ones that are currently propelling President Mahama to victory in the 2024 elections: economic downturn, debt burden, austerity, corruption, greed, dishonesty, intra-party divisions and conflicts, and the current government. There is a general loss of trust in . Therefore, it will once again be the retributive justice of the democratic process that comes into play.
Written by Abdul Hakim Ahmed, Doctor of Political Science
Lecturer in Political Science, Winneba University of Education
Email: ahahmed@uew.edu.gh
Disclaimer: The views, comments, opinions, contributions and statements made by readers and contributors on this platform do not necessarily represent the views or policies of Multimedia Group Limited.