Mussa Dankwah, Executive Director of Global InfoAnalytics, explained how his outfit came up with the sample size it used to conduct a recent study on the 2024 presidential poll.
He said the sample size was derived purely from mathematics, not anyone’s imagination, which is why he is calling for scrutiny from those who undermine the credibility of his work.
According to him, research methodologies “are not dependent on anyone’s opinion whether they are rigorous or not.”
He explained to Alfred O’Cansie on TV3’s KeyPoints on Saturday, April 13, 2024, how the results came from a sample size that took into account the country’s electorate.
“The sample size they are talking about is not determined by someone’s imagination or wishful thinking. It is driven by a formula. It is mathematics. There are 18.5 million people in Ghana who can vote, and this population Let’s say you want to be 99% confident in the survey you’re about to start, and you choose a margin of error of 1.6%, so the sample size you need to work with is 6,128. It’s mathematics, so you can prove it or disprove it. No one can say you can’t get this result,” he elaborated.
He called on those who criticize his methodology to examine whether they are confirming or denying that he is adopting the correct approach.
“Whether or not it’s rigorous doesn’t depend on anyone’s opinion. But if you open up a methodology and make it public, all the researchers who have done the research will consider it, and if this approach is You can confirm or deny that it is not strict,” he said.
His comments came in the wake of a poll showing the ruling party candidate, Dr Mahamudu Bawumia, trailing opposition candidate John Dramani Mahama, with the opposition suggesting the poll was not rigorous enough. ing.
The survey “shows that the ruling party candidate, Dr Mahamudu Bawumia (DMB), is trailing the main opposition candidate, John Dramani Mahama (JDM), in the race to lead the country in 2025. Opinion polls show JDM leading with 54.3% and DMB with 34.9%”, Alan Kwadwo Kelemanteng (AKK), 7.5%, Nana Kwame Bediako, 2.3%, Others, 1 %.
Reacting to the Accra-based Joy News report, the Nuclear Power Plant’s public relations director, Richard Ahiagba, said: “The values we place on this finding are not inclusive of the people of this country. “This is because the investigation method itself may cause problems.” So that people can understand the question being asked.
“So it’s the answers they’re giving that matter as to whether they’re answering the question (which is relative when translated into other languages) that the country is moving in the right direction.” The premium placed on this should not be too high. ”
Global InfoAnalytics Poll: Rejects Certain Aspects of the Poll – Sissala East MP