Our football betting expert offers his Chelsea v Bournemouth predictions and betting tips ahead of the final day’s penalties at Stamford Bridge.
Chelsea have a place in Europe next season in their hands and need a point from their last home game against Bournemouth to secure a top-six finish.
The motivation for Bournemouth is the possibility of finishing in the top half, which would represent some achievement for a team well-backed for relegation last summer.
Chelsea v Bournemouth betting tips
- Under 3.5 Goals @ +115 with bet365
- Match 25+ fouls @ +120 with bet365
- Dango Ouattara Over 0.5 shots on target @ +138 with bet365
All odds provided by bet365, correct at time of publication and subject to change.
Back Bournemouth to keep goal percentages low
Chelsea need to win, not necessarily open the floodgates, but prices suggest they will do both against Bournemouth on Sunday – and that may not be the case.
Over 2.5 goals at Stamford Bridge is a 2/7 shot, and even over 3.5 is odds on, with Chelsea 11/8 to win a match with at least four goals.
It’s clear that Mauricio Pochettino’s side are finishing the campaign on a gallop and Bournemouth have lost their last two, but that doesn’t necessarily mean it will be a high-scoring hammer. Indeed, the price is arguably under 3.5 goals a match at 6/5.
Of Bournemouth’s 37 league games this year, 21 have seen three goals or less, including each of their last four.
Chelsea have won four in a row and are doing well, but they don’t have to go hell for leather in sixth place with a point. Bournemouth have been written off as being in London to do the numbers, but professional pride should ensure they do all they can to avoid tragedy.
Tip 1 Chelsea v Bournemouth: Under 3.5 goals @ +115 with bet365
Bad boys should not disappoint on the final day
Anthony Taylor is the referee at the Bridge on Sunday when he can envision a busier day than he could bargain for last weekend.
The stakes are high enough for Chelsea to be fully committed and Bournemouth, fictitiously with nothing on the line, have something of a reputation this term.
In the league table for most fouls committed, Bournemouth lead with 13.5 and Chelsea are not far behind at 11.9.
Bournemouth against Brentford last weekend was supposed to be a dead rubber and had 28 fouls. This kit has the ingredients to make at least 25.
Tip 2 Chelsea v Bournemouth: Match 25+ fouls @ +120 with bet365
An unchained Dango could cause Chelsea problems
Dango Ouattara managed three shots, one on target, in last week’s 2-1 home defeat by Brentford and can hit the target at least once at Stamford Bridge.
The Cherries, who have been outstanding in the second half of the season, will have their chances against Chelsea’s less reliable defence.
The crafty winger averages almost one shot per game and is a fair price at 13/8 to get one on target.
Tip 3 Chelsea – Bournemouth: Dango Ouattara Over 0.5 shots on target @ +138 with bet365